Ali Larijani, currently the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, faces a precarious political landscape. Having held this position for the second time since August 2025, his influence is being questioned amid rising skepticism regarding his authority.
Larijani’s extensive political background includes roles as a Minister, Speaker of Parliament, and multiple presidential candidacies. Despite being viewed as a pragmatic conservative by Western powers, his reputation at home is marred by criticism. Political scientist Mahnaz Shirali has labeled him a “criminal against humanity,” reflecting the deep-seated animosity some Iranians harbor towards him.
Negotiations with Western powers have been part of Larijani’s portfolio, yet doubts linger about whether his directives will be heeded, especially by the Revolutionary Guards. Azadeh Kian, a professor emeritus of sociology, emphasized this uncertainty, stating, “It is not obvious that his orders will actually be followed, particularly by the Revolutionary Guards, who are a state within a state.”
Moreover, Kian warned of the potential dangers Larijani faces, noting, “If the Americans or the Israelis wanted to eliminate him, he would be eliminated like the others.” This highlights the precarious nature of his position in a regime where loyalty is often uncertain.
Despite his political weight, observers suggest that Larijani may only be able to negotiate a departure from the regime rather than embodying its future. Shirali remarked, “Even if the two men were to reach some kind of compromise, they could not possibly establish an authority based on Ali Larijani.”
As the political situation evolves, the future of Ali Larijani remains uncertain, with many watching closely to see how his role will play out in Iran’s complex power dynamics. Details remain unconfirmed.
